Regarding the distillation of my tweets, here’s a reminder: This may offer some basic strategic insights, but identifying key turning points remains extremely difficult because it’s highly subjective. For example, was the October 11 black swan event the beginning of a new bull market or a hallmark of its final stage? (I believe I was the only one previously suggesting it marked the bull market’s end.) My view is the latter, while many believe it’s the former—and upon examining various so-called arguments, the case for a new bull market seems more prevalent. Of course, if you distill my past tweets, you’d largely avoid losses from October 11, because even without considering the “Three Stars in a Row,” simply recognizing the alignment of “Meme frenzy + capital withdrawal” and “Sun’s antics” would have provided clear guidance to take profits. Take Trump’s coin launch: at the time, the vast majority believed it would trigger a massive bull run fueled by enormous outside capital—after all, the president was involved, especially for altcoins. My view, however, was that this marked the beginning of widespread losses for most people. I subsequently abandoned trend trading entirely and shifted to trading Trump-related swings and sentiment-driven moves. But this, too, is still a form of trend—just one that abandons the traditional buy-and-hold-upward-trend approach. These are two fundamentally different strategies, and the judgment between them is deeply subjective. Moreover, if you only distilled my tweets from 2022–2024 without considering my 2025 outlook, you might conclude that holding through 2025 was the right strategy—and miss several significant swing opportunities. Some might even question: “Why are your views inconsistent? Contradictory? Or is your strategy just not that good?” Consider timing “oil grabs”: haven’t I guided you through many successful ones before? This is also highly subjective—it requires sensing market fear, judging where the market is in its rhythm, whether it’s even possible to grab oil, and how to do it properly. By now, you should realize that many core judgments are inherently subjective. When faced with the same event, an AI might list dozens of perspectives—and market opinions vary widely. How do you cut through the noise, identify the core thread, and determine a direction? It’s largely intuition. That’s why, despite always providing logical reasoning behind my major calls, there are still so many differing opinions—because everyone’s intuition differs. Ultimately, the decision always rests on human subjectivity.

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