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The max-pain level for S&P 500 options is below 7,000 across all expirations shown. For today’s expiration, the calculated max-pain level is 6,725. That does not mean the S&P 500 will finish at 6,725 today. It only means that, based on current options open interest, the max-pain level is below 7,000. It should not be taken as evidence that most of the market expects the S&P 500 to remain below 7,000. Max pain is not an “expected price.” It is a theoretical price level derived from options open interest. And the open interest says you S&P 500 should be below 7000

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