If you’re unsure right now, that’s not a personal failure — this is a “both can be true” tape: long-term support still holding, but the shorter-term trend is still damaged. So no, I’m not treating every bounce as “bull is back,” and I’m also not acting like we’re guaranteed headed to zero. My play is boring on purpose: BTC-heavy, alts light, only small dip buys, and I keep real cash aside in case we get a deeper, macro-led flush. If we rip, I’m fine missing the first leg; if we dump, I don’t want to be forced to sell the bottom. In this regime the win condition isn’t calling the top — it’s staying solvent and emotionally steady until the chart stops playing games.