source avatarAaron Dishner

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BTC pushed into another slightly higher high, daily RSI beat Tuesday’s high, and OBV is still bullish above its moving average, but volume is still not doing enough to confirm a clean continuation. The bigger issue is that the 4h TBO breakout cluster printed after a 6% move, which is the same kind of late breakout behavior that has failed before. That keeps the short term bias leaning toward a pullback even while the weekly chart is flashing a very real bullish divergence in progress. ETH still looks weaker than BTC, and that keeps the broader message the same: it is still Bitcoin season. BTC dominance keeps grinding higher, BTC has some weekend room above the CME high, and TOTAL3ESBTC is now working through a third daily breakdown signal. That is still a bearish warning for alts, even if some of these charts eventually try to carve out a pivot low. TradFi closed the week stronger than expected, but a lot of the move still looks stretched. DXY is drifting lower, ES and NYFANG look toppy after the bounce, NVDA is back toward overbought territory, the VIX is cooling, the Nikkei just confirmed an open long that still looks suspect, oil still has unfinished gap business, and gold and silver are both trying to hold onto recovery. The bounce was real, but the broader backdrop still looks fragile. In today’s picks, the message was still mostly caution. ZEC is extended into the cloud, M and Pump Fun may still have tactical upside but need careful handling, TAO confirmed a bearish divergence and finally rolled over, WLFI still looks like a mess, POL and ETHBTC still look weak, ZBCN is flashing another bearish warning, and MON remains one of the strongest charts on the board even if it is getting overheated. Viewer picks were mixed too: SUI still needs a cleaner bottom, SOLBTC is another reminder of how ugly alt/BTC pairs can get, NEAT and HYPE are extended, LDO and DOT still look structurally weak, Amazon still has another upside gap target, Intel remains one of the strongest charts on the board, and ServiceNow still looks headed lower. The spring sale is almost over, so if you want the courses at 40% off, the TBO on sale, or the rest of the resources Aaron mentioned in today’s video, check the links below.

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