🔴 Due to Israel’s violations of the ceasefire in Lebanon, Iran has halted transit through the Strait of Hormuz. If the ceasefire breaks down, things will change—but if it holds, my expectations are as follows: 👇 During the day, the Strait of Hormuz reopened to traffic. A conditional **two-week ceasefire** has been signed between Iran and the U.S.: the strait is now open for safe passage, and tensions have slightly eased. Both sides are shouting “victory is ours,” but the real winners appear to be energy markets. In **oil**, the risk premium is rapidly evaporating → downward pressure has begun (Brent has seen drops of over 10%). In the short term, this could positively impact global inflation. **Gold**, with reduced geopolitical risk, may face selling pressure as investors exit its classic “safe-haven” status. For **Bitcoin and crypto**, a risk-on environment remains supportive: - Lower energy costs = indirect support for global liquidity - Reduced uncertainty = increased investor appetite - However, don’t expect full relief until lasting peace is achieved. In short: In the short term, oil ↓, gold slightly ↓, risk assets (including BTC) ↑ potential. But the next move could change everything. Who do you think is the real winner? Not investment advice. #StraitOfHormuz #Ceasefire #Crypto #Bitcoin #Oil #Gold #Israel #Hormuz #Ceasefire #مزاحمت_سے_زنجیریں_ٹوٹیں_گی #Panamá