AI has not yet run its course; every revolution first overestimates, then underestimates its long-term potential. The Industrial Revolution expanded material civilization by using electricity as power and assembly lines. This AI revolution is powered by computational capacity, empowering every individual with wisdom on the level of human civilization. AGI is still on the horizon. Therefore, current AI has not yet reached the stage of overestimation; the bubble is expected to emerge around 2033, followed by a decline—mirroring the long-term potential of electricity entering every household.
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