XRP Analyst Predicts $5.32 Price Target If Bitcoin Dominance Drops

A widely followed XRP market analyst says the current setup on XRP could be powerful enough to “retire his entire bloodline.”

The analyst, known as JayDee on X, revealed that XRP is showing a strong hidden bullish divergence on the monthly timeframe, alongside what he described as a textbook retest of a seven-year trendline.

According to his analysis, if Bitcoin dominance begins to fall meaningfully, XRP could enter its next major expansion phase and push its price into what he labels as a “green box” take-profit zone.

• An XRP analyst says a hidden bullish divergence signals potential trend continuation.

• XRP has retested a seven-year ascending trendline as strong long-term support.

• A drop in Bitcoin dominance could trigger XRP’s next major expansion phase.

• The projected target implies a market cap near $325 billion, or roughly $5.32 per XRP.

On the chart shared, XRP’s market structure shows a long-term ascending trendline stretching back about seven years (since around 2019). Over time, it has formed higher support levels, with both pullbacks and strong rallies along the way.

Recently, XRP retested this long-term trendline as support. At the same time, the RSI shows a hidden bullish divergence. Notably, a hidden bullish divergence is when market prices make a higher low while the RSI indicates a lower low. This typically suggests underlying strength, even if the market appears weak.

JayDee believes this combination of strong support and bullish divergence could lead to the next major upward move, especially if Bitcoin dominance declines.

He noted that his next profit-taking target will be triggered when BTC dominance falls. JayDee added that if the projection plays out in this cycle, it would be life-changing. If not, he believes the move could unfold in the next cycle instead.

From the chart, the analyst projects XRP’s market cap soaring to nearly $325 billion. From today’s valuation of $83 billion, this would represent approximately a 4x gain for XRP.

For context, a $325 billion market cap would imply an XRP price above $5.32 based on the current circulating supply of 61.09 billion tokens. XRP is currently trading at $1.35, down 30% over the past eight weeks.

However, JayDee also cautioned that a lower “pink box” scenario remains possible. He has previously described this pink zone as a “calculated crash,” or a deep pullback he would treat as the next major accumulation opportunity for the next bull cycle.

Importantly, he stressed that even if XRP drops into the pink box first, the hidden bullish divergence on the monthly timeframe would remain intact.

In short, he sees either immediate continuation toward major upside targets or a final shakeout before a larger multi-year expansion.

JayDee’s thesis aligns with broader community expectations that a major decline in Bitcoin dominance could trigger a powerful altcoin rotation.

In February, analyst Dark Defender argued that a historic drop in Bitcoin dominance could mirror the 2017 cycle. During that period, Bitcoin dominance fell from around 95% to near 37%, while XRP surged over 70,000%, from $0.0055 to $3.84.

This cycle, XRP has already climbed more than 600%, from $0.49 to $3.66 at its 2025 peak. However, Bitcoin dominance has not yet experienced a dramatic structural breakdown.

Dark Defender believes that if dominance weakens significantly into 2026, liquidity rotation into large-cap altcoins like XRP could fuel a second leg higher.

For now, XRP trades roughly 60% below its 2025 high near $3.66, hovering around the $1.30 region. As Bitcoin dominance becomes the key macro variable, XRP holders are now hoping for the long-anticipated altcoin rotation to materialize.