BlockBeats news: On January 28, according to data from Polymarket, Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin joined the platform in March 2023 with a verified account. He has participated in 141 prediction market topics, with a maximum single-transaction profit of $54.80. All his transactions have resulted in a cumulative loss of $1,120, and he currently has no ongoing prediction market trades.
In terms of trading style, Vitalik tends to bet on high-probability events on this account. For example, about two months ago, he invested $3,867 to bet that the Federal Reserve would not raise interest rates by more than 25 basis points in December 2025, with a probability of nearly 100%. He eventually earned a profit of $3.87.
Three months ago, Vitalik placed a total of $600 bets at 93% and 96% probabilities to buy the prediction that "MetaMask will not launch a token in 2025." Two months ago, he actively sold it at a 97% probability, making a profit of $25.53.
Interestingly, Vitalik's majority of betting amounts were only $10, with typical profits of just a few cents per trade. However, he did not start out using this strategy from the beginning. In his first transaction after creating an account, he spent $665 betting on "Arbitrum will not airdrop before March 31" at a 56% probability (the official announcement was confirmed on March 16, and the airdrop occurred on March 23). Eventually, he actively sold at a 26% probability, resulting in a loss of $356.74.