VanEck: Bitcoin Miner Capitulation May Signal Market Bottom

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Citing BlockBeats, VanEck analysts noted that Bitcoin's network hash rate dropped by 4% in the month ending December 15, 2025. The firm suggests miner capitulation historically acts as a bullish contrarian indicator, with higher probabilities of positive returns following prolonged hash rate declines. According to Matt Sigel and Patrick Bush, when the 30-day hash rate fell, Bitcoin's 90-day positive return probability reached 65%, compared to 54% when hash rate rose. Over a longer 180-day period, Bitcoin saw a 77% positive return probability when the 90-day hash rate declined, with an average gain of 72%.

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