Citing BlockBeats, VanEck analysts noted that Bitcoin's network hash rate dropped by 4% in the month ending December 15, 2025. The firm suggests miner capitulation historically acts as a bullish contrarian indicator, with higher probabilities of positive returns following prolonged hash rate declines. According to Matt Sigel and Patrick Bush, when the 30-day hash rate fell, Bitcoin's 90-day positive return probability reached 65%, compared to 54% when hash rate rose. Over a longer 180-day period, Bitcoin saw a 77% positive return probability when the 90-day hash rate declined, with an average gain of 72%.
VanEck: Bitcoin Miner Capitulation May Signal Market Bottom
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Bitcoin analysis from VanEck highlights a potential market bottom as Bitcoin miners show signs of capitulation. The firm noted a 4% drop in the network hash rate for the month ending December 15, 2025. Historically, such declines have preceded positive returns. VanEck analysts found a 65% chance of 90-day gains when hash rates fell, rising to 77% over 180 days with an average return of 72%. Bitcoin news suggests miners’ struggles could signal a buying opportunity for traders.
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