UBS: Inflation Expected to Remain Moderate Amid Market Volatility

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UBS highlighted inflation data as key amid market volatility, noting that U.S. February CPI remains central to Fed policy. Paul Donovan expects moderate underlying inflation and stressed that the Fed should act only on broad trends. He said isolated price spikes, such as the 27% surge in gas prices, will not be reflected in today’s data. Traders are also monitoring altcoins to watch as volatility persists. Grocery costs may rise, but the Fed has limited tools to address such disruptions.

ChainThink reports that on March 11, UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan noted that the U.S. February Consumer Price Index data, although preceding recent market volatility, remains crucial for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions.


He expects the underlying inflationary pressures reflected in today’s data to be moderate and believes the Fed should respond only to broad-based price increases. Donovan emphasized that the Fed lacks policy tools to address isolated market disruptions. He also noted that the nearly 27% rise in gasoline prices since January’s low will not be reflected in today’s data, but consumers will notice sharp increases in some grocery item prices. (Goldenberg)

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