Last night, the U.S. Department of Defense launched a new website: war.gov/UFO.
162 files, including 14 images, 28 video clips, and 120 documents, spanning dates from 1947 to 2025. After the website launched, many of the images were discussed by internet users.



108 documents contain varying degrees of redaction, but the U.S. Department of Defense specifically emphasized in its announcement that the redactions were solely to "protect witness identities and military facility locations." Each document carries the same status label: unresolved. This means the government reviewed them but could not determine their contents.
The entire website employs a deliberately aged visual language: a black-and-white filter, minimalist typography from the Apollo era, and scanned documents of decrypted archives interspersed among NASA’s lunar photographs. A faint, Geiger-counter-like static noise appears when you hover your mouse. Upon opening the page, you might think you’ve stepped into a 1970s government leak thriller film.

The project is called PURSUE, standing for Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters—an acronym constructed retroactively to spell out the word “Pursue,” incorporating the initial letters of each agency. The official statement says: “These documents have long been hidden by classification systems, fueling legitimate speculation—it’s time for the American people to see them for themselves.” FBI Director Kash Patel added: “Transparency never achieved by any previous administration.” Trump himself posted a more casual message on Truth Social: “Have Fun and Enjoy!”
But the disclosure itself is far from the most interesting part of this event. The most intriguing aspect is the timing—why now? The Lüdong editorial team has some guesses and thoughts.
Lay the groundwork for the 2026 midterm elections
This is the least mentioned by the media, but it is actually the most important.
The midterm election on November 3, 2026, will feature the full renewal of all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and the election of 35 seats in the Senate. Historically, the lower the president’s approval rating from the ruling party, the greater the losses in the midterm elections.
A May 3 Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll showed: “With six months until the November midterm elections, Republicans face a deteriorating political environment, with widespread American dissatisfaction over Trump’s leadership on Iran war and other key issues, and Democratic voters demonstrating significantly higher motivation to vote than Republican voters.”
Viewed in this context, the key point of the May 8 announcement is not the announcement itself, but the phrase “on a rolling basis.” The U.S. Department of Defense repeatedly emphasized in the announcement: “New materials will be released continuously based on ongoing disclosures and findings.”
This is a rhythmic cue.
If you were a communications strategist for Trump’s team, releasing all the materials at once would be the dumbest approach. The smartest strategy would be to release the UFO files in a “season-by-season” format: release Season 1 in May, Season 2 in June to coincide with Spielberg’s movie premiere, build momentum over the summer, and save the most explosive content for September–October—the final stretch before the midterm elections.
Octagon AI's market analysis directly states: "The 2026 U.S. midterm elections are a key potential catalyst for the release of UFO documents. Such disclosure could occur when polls indicate significant seat losses for Trump's party in both chambers of Congress, or during periods of low approval ratings, as a means to redirect public attention."
162 documents are just the beginning. What truly determines whether this disclosure is a "political tool" is not what was released on May 8, but whether more documents will be released consistently in September, October, and November.
The "transparency" narrative of Trump's second term
One of the core messaging narratives of Trump's second term is, "I am more transparent than any previous president." This statement requires ongoing empirical support.
The release schedule is roughly as follows: In December 2025, the Department of Justice released the Epstein documents on a standalone site with continuous updates. On May 8, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense released UFO documents on an identical standalone site with continuous updates and the exact same product format. The time interval between the two releases was less than five months.
Where’s the next stop? The shortlist is easy to guess: JFK files still have undeclassified portions. MLK files. Partial attachments from the 9/11 Commission. Each could follow the same product template: a standalone domain, rolling updates, and an invitation for “private sector analysis.” aliens.gov has already been registered—something similar may be happening with jfk.gov or similar domains.
This is Disclosure as a Service. It is not a one-time action, but a reusable government product format.
This political strategy is highly efficient. Each release simultaneously achieves three things: meeting the MAGA camp’s expectations for “transparency”; providing a distraction during a specific time window; and supplying raw material to downstream content industries such as Hollywood, Polymarket, and Solana meme coins.
Its smartest aspect is that the government has relinquished the authority to interpret. It neither affirms nor denies the existence of aliens; it draws no conclusions, only presents the evidence. This means the government’s responsibility for truth is minimized, while its political credibility remains intact.
The war in Iran needs "good news" to divert attention.
This doesn't require much reasoning, as many people within MAGA have publicly said the same thing, including Joe Rogan.
On May 7, during episode 2247 of The Joe Rogan Experience, Rogan asked the Republican congressman Tim Burchett in attendance: “It doesn’t really make sense why this is being disclosed now, unless you’re willing to think the most cynical way: the war with Iran isn’t going well, the American public is furious, and many feel we never should have gotten involved in the first place. We need some good news.”
Joe Rogan was the key podcast host in 2024 who helped bring manosphere voters into Trump’s red camp. By explicitly stating this on his own show, he confirmed that this interpretation has become an open secret within the MAGA media ecosystem.
In terms of data, the outlook for Trump is also clearly unfavorable. According to CNN’s Poll of Polls on May 5, Trump’s overall approval rating stands at 35%, nearing the low point of George W. Bush’s second term. His approval rating on economic issues has dropped to 31%, while over 70% of people disapprove of his handling of the cost of living. Sixty-one percent of Americans label the Iran conflict as “a mistake.” Gas prices have surged above $4.50 per gallon.
The political impact of this number may be greater than the daily casualty figures from the Middle East, as it directly enters every American household's budget.
Even the official code name for this war was changed by the public. Trump named the operation "Operation Epic Fury," but Twitter users altered it to "Operation Epstein Fury." The fact that this renamed version went viral itself shows that the public has already linked this war with the idea of a distraction.
Even more striking is a March poll by Data for Progress: 52% of Americans believe Trump initiated the war with Iran at least partly to divert attention from Epstein. Even 25% of Republican voters agree with this assessment. 81% of Democrats and 66% of voters under 45 consider this to be true. This represents a bipartisan, cross-generational consensus—the American public no longer believes the president’s motivation for launching war is national security.
If the Iran war itself was suspected as a cover-up for Epstein, then using UFOs to cover up the Iran war is a cover-up of a cover-up. The Trump administration now faces not a single issue spiraling out of control, but a chain of uncontrollable issues referencing each other. Each new diversion simultaneously reinforces the meta-narrative that “they’re just diverting again.”
UFOs are covering up Epstein files.
On December 19, 2025, the Department of Justice released the first batch of Epstein documents in accordance with the newly enacted law. The release included: a standalone website, rolling updates, no official interpretation, and encouragement of "private sector analysis."
On May 8, war.gov/UFO had a product format nearly identical to this: an independent site, continuously updated, no official interpretation provided, and welcome for "private sector analysis."
The exact wording in the U.S. Department of Defense statement is: "The materials archived here are unresolved cases, meaning the government cannot make a definitive determination about the nature of the observed phenomena... The U.S. Department of Defense welcomes analysis, information, and expertise from the private sector."
This approach—where Americans only heard it for the first time in December—turning "document disclosure" into a replicable government product with an independent domain, low response latency, consistent visual design, and ample white space to let public narratives fill in—is clearly a communication innovation from Trump’s second term.
But the Epstein files are not dead. Massie, the Kentucky Republican congressman known for opposing Trump, wrote in February: “They deployed the ultimate weapon of mass distraction, but the Epstein files won’t disappear… not even for aliens.” This phrase “weapon of mass distraction” is a pun in the original English, replacing “mass destruction” with “mass distraction.”
The most notable reaction on May 8 was the defection within MAGA. Marjorie Taylor Greene, known as one of Trump’s most loyal congresswomen, tweeted: “I really don’t care about the UFO files. I really don’t. I’m tired of the ‘look at the shiny thing’ propaganda while they wage foreign wars, let rapists and pedophiles go free, and destroy the value of the dollar.” In another post, she was even more direct: “The most transparent government still hasn’t released all the Epstein files or arrested anyone—but today they threw us some UFO files to distract you while you pay $4.50 per gallon of gas for another foreign war they promised they’d never fight again.”
Alex Jones is another iconic figure who turned against it. This long-time conspiracy theorist, who should have been the biggest spectator of the government releasing alien files, labeled the release a "nothingburger." Jones went further, saying: "This demonstrates the same methodology and mindset as those involved in the Epstein files case—until the public forced Congress to release three million documents."
This detail is crucial. Jones isn’t accusing Trump of hiding the truth—he’s accusing Trump of copying Epstein’s playbook. In other words, this product template—“rolling releases, deliberately hollow, inviting public analysis”—was already exposed once with the Epstein files; using it again won’t fool anyone.
Another data point cited by Al Jazeera from analyst Ben-Ephraim: searches for “Epstein files” on Google plummeted sharply after the outbreak of the Iran war. This suggests that the strategy of “burying small events under big ones” is statistically effective—at least in temporarily removing an issue from Google Trends’ popularity rankings. However, a decline in search volume does not mean the issue has disappeared. The handling of the Epstein files has become a structural liability for Trump’s second term; each time it is suppressed, the next rebound will be even stronger.
The White House is fulfilling the Polymarket market outcome
On Polymarket, the market "Will Trump disclose UFO documents before 2027?" is currently showing 100% YES, with a total trading volume of $845,000.
Broadening the scope, all UFO-related markets on Polymarket have generated a total trading volume of $41.9 million across 104 active markets. Among these, a single market—“Will the U.S. confirm the existence of extraterrestrials before a certain date?”—has alone reached a cumulative trading volume of $35 million.
It’s worth noting the “Whale Event” on Polymarket in December 2025. At the time, a $16 million market on “Will Trump disclose UFO documents in 2025?” was abruptly swept by a whale at nearly $1 per share, using UMA governance tokens to vote the outcome as YES. No documents were released—only a 10-minute blurry video from AARO. The community erupted, condemning it as “proof-of-whales.” CryptoSlate’s coverage labeled the incident a “serious credibility crisis” for Polymarket.
The fallout from this incident has yet to subside today. It is also hard for the White House to be unaware of the relevant markets on Polymarket; the Lawdynamics team, after analyzing account profiles, finds it difficult not to suspect insider trading.
On May 8, following the official declassification and release of the UFO files, the Polymarket market asking "Will Trump disclose the UFO files before 2027?" settled as "Yes." The market recorded a total trading volume of $845,000, with the most profitable individual bet on "Yes" earning over $10,000.
But the situation in another market is not so simple.
The trading event "Will the United States confirm the existence of aliens before ___?" has generated cumulative trading volume exceeding $35 million. From April 1 until the document's release, the market saw a significant influx of new registered accounts. Many of these accounts exhibited highly similar behavioral patterns—only purchasing the "Yes" outcome in this market and showing no trading activity in any other markets, with registration times nearly identical to their position-building times.
According to statistics, at least 13 of these new accounts purchased over $1,000 under the option "Confirmed This Year," with a combined potential return exceeding $10 million. Individually, each account could be explained as that of an "informed new user." If subsequent related documents are released or official statements align with the market’s settlement terms, this $10 million could be realized.
Hollywood is betting heavily on UFO-themed content throughout 2026.
On June 12, Spielberg's UFO film "Disclosure Day" premiered globally in IMAX.
The film’s tagline, “All Will Be Disclosed,” directly borrows from the core phrase of the UFO community’s “Disclosure Movement.” Produced by Universal Pictures, with score by John Williams (his 30th collaboration with Spielberg), Emily Blunt stars as a Kansas City weather reporter, Josh O’Connor plays the whistleblower, and Colin Firth portrays the villainous corporate CEO. The screenplay is written by David Koepp, who previously collaborated with Spielberg on Jurassic Park and War of the Worlds.
Trump released the UFO documents on May 8, exactly 35 days before the movie's release.
This timing did not escape anyone’s attention. The Hollywood Reporter wrote: “The Pentagon has pledged to ‘roll out new material,’ which couldn’t be better timed for Universal’s upcoming Spielberg film.” The Wrap dedicated an entire paragraph to the matter: “The happiest person is Spielberg. His movie, releasing in June, has received completely free nationwide promotion.”
Throughout Hollywood in 2026, the UFO genre is receiving major backing: Apple Original Films is producing a UAP film directed by Joseph Kosinski, produced by Jerry Bruckheimer, and advised by David Grusch (the UFO whistleblower who testified before Congress in 2023); Hulu is reviving The X-Files; and 20th Century is developing a film related to Roswell.
Producer Bryce Zabel told THR: "The UFO/UAP reality is the zeitgeist of our time. Obama and Trump were two completely opposite presidents, yet both took this possibility seriously."
Hollywood has turned UFOs into a bipartisan, cross-cycle stable IP. This matters more than any single movie—it signals that the industry believes this theme can sustain interest at least until the 2028 election.
