U.S. Military Aircraft Flies Along Iran Border, Probability of Attack Rises to 70%

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On January 14, 2026, a U.S. MQ-4C drone flew near Iran's border, tracked via flight radar data from a base in the UAE, while a C-130J aircraft departed from Qatar. Polymarket shows a 70% chance of a U.S. military strike on Iran before January 31. On-chain data suggests increased volatility in altcoins to watch amid the geopolitical tensions.

BlockBeats news: On January 14, according to the Russian news agency TASS, citing data from the 24-hour flight radar website, a U.S. military MQ-4C unmanned surveillance aircraft recently took off from a U.S. military base in the UAE, flew across the Persian Gulf, followed Iran's border, and then turned back after reaching the Gulf of Oman. Additionally, a U.S. military C-130J "Super Hercules" transport aircraft took off from Qatar.


According to data from Polymarket, the probability of a "U.S. military attack on Iran" has also risen in sync, with the probability of an attack before January 31 increasing to 70%.


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