BlockBeats report, May 9: The current Iran-U.S. conflict centers on Iran’s response to the U.S.-proposed agreement, expected to be communicated to the U.S. within the next 12 hours. Trump has also threatened to revive the “Freedom Plan” operation aimed at easing stranded vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, along with additional measures. The latest developments in the Iran-U.S. conflict are as follows:
Ceasefire negotiations and the Strait of Hormuz:
Iranian media: Iran says it is still reviewing the U.S. proposal to end the war.
U.S. Secretary of State: We should receive a response from Iran today (the 8th). We hope the U.S. and Iran enter a serious negotiation process.
United States: More than 70 tankers are currently stranded and unable to enter or exit Iranian ports.
No large commercial ships have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.
Iranian media: Iran is developing a plan for a "legal regime" regarding the Strait of Hormuz, and the related measures will become permanent law.
On the U.S. side:
Trump said he may reinstate the "Freedom Plan" operation.
The U.S. military said it fired on two Iranian tankers, rendering them unable to navigate.
Vance met with the Prime Minister of Qatar to discuss negotiations with Iran.
The United States says it will facilitate talks between Israel and Lebanon.
Iranian side:
Iranian merchant vessel attacked by U.S. military; 10 injured, 5 missing.
The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs strongly condemned the U.S. military strike on an Iranian oil tanker.
Maritime intelligence firm reports three Iranian tankers have broken through U.S. naval blockade.
Armed forces of Iran had "sporadic clashes" with U.S. naval vessels in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran's Foreign Minister: Iran's current missile inventory and launch capability have increased by 20% since February 28.
Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The armed forces are fully prepared to respond to any aggression.
Observation agencies stated that U.S. and Israeli airstrikes set back Iran’s nuclear program by up to two years.
Iranian media: A senior Iranian lawmaker stated that from now on, U.S. maritime blockade measures will be met with a military response from Iran.
Satellite images suggest a large oil spill near Iran's Kharg Island. Iranian lawmakers claim the oil slick near Kharg Island originates from European tankers.
Mohsen Muharram, advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader: The UAE has already been punished and will face even harsher penalties. Countries once regarded as investment havens are now experiencing capital flight.
According to PolyBeats , on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of a permanent peace agreement between the U.S. and Iran being reached by May 15 is 18%, rising to 36% by May 31.