According to PolyBeats, on the prediction market Polymarket, two addresses have invested $55,500 to buy "Yes" on the question "Will the United States confirm the existence of aliens before 2027?" The current probability is 17%. One of the accounts is a smart money account, and the other has made three historical trades with a total purchase value exceeding $1.25M.
Last month, U.S. President Trump publicly announced that he would direct the Department of Defense and related federal agencies to begin declassifying and releasing documents regarding unidentified flying objects and extraterrestrial life. This week, a bright fireball accompanied by a loud sonic boom was observed in the skies from Ohio to Pennsylvania, sparking widespread social media discussions about UFOs. Meanwhile, according to publicly available domain registration records, the U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency officially registered and activated the government-exclusive domain "aliens.gov" on March 17.
It should be noted that the U.S. Department of Defense’s All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office has explicitly stated in past comprehensive review reports that there is no verified evidence of extraterrestrial technology. Furthermore, reviewing past declassification commitments, the released archival materials have consistently been attributed to conventional meteorological equipment, classified military tests, or mere visual illusions, with no official sovereign acknowledgment of the existence of extraterrestrial intelligent life.
Note: Based on its past trading behavior, this trader is not betting on whether the event actually occurs, and exhibits behavior of taking profits or cutting losses at certain points after opening a position.
Account:
0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd
0x72e4daa9b93fd3786f231c3b73c1bdbc4c48740a
Total investment: $55.5k
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Two addresses invest $55.5K on a prediction market for UFO confirmation by 2027.
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Summary
On-chain data shows two addresses have collectively wagered $55.5K on Polymarket that the U.S. will confirm extraterrestrial life by 2027. One is a “smart money” account, while the other has over $1.25M in total purchases. Market data indicates the current probability of this event is 17%. Recent on-chain activity follows the declassification of Trump’s UFO files and the launch of 'aliens.gov'.
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