Smart money buys $500,000 on the U.S. losing to Paraguay in the 2026 World Cup group match.

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Odaily Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event “2026 World Cup Group D, Matchday 1: USA vs Paraguay,” a smart money address (0x38f0b76ed812c24166a4f6293f991ac4b9972768) with a win probability exceeding 51% purchased over $500,000 worth of “USA will not beat Paraguay” at an average entry price of 51.2¢, generating a paper profit of $12,600.

The U.S. team enjoys home-field advantage and defeated Paraguay in a friendly match in November 2025. Paraguay, led by head coach Gustavo Alfaro, has returned to the World Cup after 16 years, known for its solid defense and set-piece threats. In terms of injuries, Paraguay’s key player Julio Enciso is doubtful due to a muscle issue, while U.S. defender Chris Richards has been confirmed fit to play.

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