Citing Bitcoin.com, prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi indicate that traders expect Bitcoin to remain below $130,000 by the end of 2025. As of Nov. 19, 2025, Bitcoin is trading at $91,758, and the most probable price target on Polymarket is $100,000, with a 62% chance. Higher targets like $130,000 and $150,000 have lower probabilities, while the likelihood of Bitcoin dropping to $80,000 is at 36%. Kalshi’s data aligns closely, showing less than 1% odds for prices above $300,000.
Prediction Markets Show Bitcoin Likely to Stay Below $130,000 in 2025
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