As reported by Bijiawang, 2025 saw record growth in prediction markets, led by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which attracted billions in valuations from major investors such as Sequoia Capital and Intercontinental Exchange. With the 2026 U.S. midterm elections approaching, critics are questioning whether the platforms' near $400 billion in trading volume reflects genuine user activity or hype, while also raising concerns about their revenue sources and potential data inflation. Despite partnerships with brands like CNN and UFC and expansion through brokers like Robinhood, the industry faces regulatory challenges and controversies, including manipulative 'mention markets.'
Prediction Markets Set Record in 2025 Amid Regulatory and Valuation Scrutiny
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Summary
Prediction markets hit a record in 2025, with platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi drawing billions in funding from Sequoia Capital and Intercontinental Exchange. The fear and greed index among traders remains high as the 2026 U.S. midterms approach, with critics questioning if the near $400 billion in trading volume stems from real demand or hype. Price prediction markets have expanded through Robinhood and partnerships with CNN and UFC, but face regulatory pushback and claims of data inflation.
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