Based on Bitcoin.com, prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are offering odds on whether Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, will move his long-dormant coins. As of October 21, 2025, Polymarket traders give Nakamoto a 7% chance of moving his stash this year, down from 15% in early October. Arkham Intelligence estimates that Nakamoto controls around 1,096,358 BTC, valued at approximately $121 billion. Meanwhile, the odds of the U.S. government confirming alien existence are at 4%, and the chance of Jesus returning in 2025 is at -1%.
Prediction Markets Bet Satoshi Nakamoto's Bitcoin Will Move in 2025
Bitcoin.comShare
Source:Show original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information.
Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.