Citing MarsBit, prediction markets are expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of $95.5 billion by 2035 and a compound annual growth rate of nearly 47%. In 2025, platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Myriad saw weekly trading volumes exceed $2 billion, marking a key inflection point. The U.S. presidential election in 2024 served as a turning point, with Polymarket accurately predicting Trump's win and setting new records in trading volume and influence. Regulatory challenges followed, including a French ban and an FBI investigation, but the CFTC later shifted its stance, clearing the way for platforms like Kalshi. In 2025, the sector rapidly mainstreamed, with Robinhood partnering with Kalshi for NCAA prediction markets, Polymarket acquiring QCX for $112 million, and ICE investing $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing it at $9 billion. New platforms like Limitless and Myriad also saw multi-fold growth in trading volumes within months.
Prediction Market Set to Reach $95.5 Billion by 2035, CAGR Near 47%
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Summary
Prediction markets are set to hit $95.5 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR near 47%. In 2025, platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Myriad saw weekly trading volumes top $2 billion. The 2024 U.S. election boosted liquidity and crypto markets, with Polymarket predicting Trump’s win. Regulatory hurdles emerged, including a French ban and FBI probe, but the CFTC later allowed Kalshi to operate. Robinhood partnered with Kalshi for NCAA markets, while MiCA (EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation) looms as a key regulatory factor. Polymarket’s $112 million QCX buy and $2 billion ICE investment valued it at $9 billion.
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