According to ME News, on April 7 (UTC+8), predictions on Predict for “Polymarket’s FDV on Token Launch Day” all declined, with the current probability of FDV exceeding $2 billion at 13% and exceeding $10 billion at 6%. The official settlement rule states: “If Polymarket’s token FDV exceeds the specified amount one day after token issuance, this market settles as Yes.” Today, Polymarket announced a comprehensive upgrade of its trading engine and the launch of its native stablecoin, Polymarket USD, both of which are considered part of the token launch, triggering significant volatility in the probabilities of related events on Predict. (Source: ODAILY)
Polymarket Token Launch FDV Predictions Drop on Predict
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Summary
On-chain data shows that Predict’s markets for “Polymarket’s first-day FDV” all declined on April 7 (UTC+8). The probability of FDV exceeding $2 billion dropped to 13%, and the probability of exceeding $10 billion fell to 6%. Polymarket’s settlement rule triggers a “Yes” outcome if FDV surpasses the target one day after launch. The platform announced a full trading engine upgrade and launched Polymarket USD, an action widely viewed as a token launch. On-chain analysis indicates this triggered significant shifts in the event probabilities on Predict. (Source: ODAILY)
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