ME News reports that on May 6 (UTC+8), Odaily Seer’s prediction channel monitored that the probability of “Strategy selling Bitcoin before December 31, 2026” briefly rose to 40%, a 29% increase over 24 hours. This event is primarily based on official information from MicroStrategy and on-chain data. The market continues to closely monitor MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holding strategy and Michael Saylor’s recent remarks suggesting he may sell a portion of Bitcoin to pay dividends. Previously, Odaily reported that Michael Saylor indicated he might sell some Bitcoin to pay dividends, aiming to demonstrate the viability of this strategy to the market. Odaily Seer’s prediction channel continuously tracks prediction markets to identify shifts before pricing adjustments. (Source: ODAILY)
Polymarket probability of MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin by 2026 rises to 40%
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Summary
The risk-to-reward ratio for MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin position is under scrutiny, as Polymarket data shows a 40% probability of a sale by 2026—an increase of 29% in 24 hours. On-chain trading signals and official statements are driving market focus, with Saylor hinting at potential Bitcoin sales to fund dividends.
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