火星财经消息， the probability of the CLARITY Act taking effect in 2026 has risen to 67%, up 21% in the past 24 hours. The contract terms for this event state: if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the outcome will be “Yes”; otherwise, it will be “No.” Coinbase has indicated that key disagreements over yield provisions for stablecoin holders have been resolved through compromise with traditional banks, clearing the way for the U.S. Senate to advance the cryptocurrency market structure bill. Previously, banks had lobbied to restrict or prohibit exchanges from offering yields to stablecoin holders, primarily due to concerns about funds flowing out of the banking deposit system. Coinbase’s Chief Policy Officer, Faryar Shirzad, stated that the final agreement retains space for users to earn rewards through crypto platforms and networks based on real-world use cases, while introducing certain limitations. This development is expected to facilitate the CLARITY Act’s progression to a vote in the Senate Banking Committee.
Polymarket predicts a 67% chance of the CLARITY Act taking effect in 2026.
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Summary
On-chain data shows the probability of the CLARITY Act taking effect in 2026 has risen to 67% on Polymarket, up 21% in 24 hours. The contract defines the passage of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) by December 31, 2026, as the "Yes" outcome. Coinbase reportedly reached a compromise with banks on stablecoin yields, enabling the Senate to advance the crypto bill. Previously, banks lobbied against stablecoin yields to prevent capital outflows. Coinbase’s Faryar Shirzad stated that the final plan preserves reward opportunities while introducing certain restrictions.
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