According to PolyBeats, Polymarket has launched a new market: "Will Neymar play in the 2026 World Cup?" The current probability for "Yes" is 37%.
Neymar, 34, has been plagued by injuries and delivered a lackluster performance in the league match against Corinthians on March 15. On March 16, when Brazil’s national team coach Ancelotti announced the squad for the March friendly matches, Neymar was omitted. This was the final major testing window before the World Cup, and his absence signals that Ancelotti lacks confidence in Neymar’s physical availability. With little time left before the May World Cup squad deadline, Ancelotti has repeatedly stated publicly: if Neymar is 100% fit, he will go to the World Cup.
