According to PolyBeats, Polymarket has launched a new market: "Will Neymar play in the 2026 World Cup?" The current probability for "Yes" is 37%.
Neymar, 34, has been plagued by injuries and delivered a lackluster performance in the league match against Corinthians on March 15. On March 16, when Brazil’s national team head coach Ancelotti announced the squad for the March friendly matches, Neymar was omitted. This was the final crucial window for testing before the World Cup; his absence signals Ancelotti’s lack of confidence in Neymar’s physical availability. With little time remaining until the May World Cup squad is finalized, Ancelotti has repeatedly stated publicly: if Neymar is 100% fit, he will go to the World Cup.
