According to a report by CoinDesk, decentralized prediction platform Polymarket launched new prediction markets on Monday tied to the Volmex Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) volatility indices, allowing ordinary investors to bet on cryptocurrency market volatility in 2026. These contracts will settle by December 31, 2026, based on whether the volatility index reaches or exceeds a preset target. Early trading data shows the market expects a roughly 35% chance that Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility index will double from its current 40% to 80%, and a similar probability for Ethereum's volatility index to rise from 50% to 90%.
Polymarket Launches BTC and ETH Volatility Prediction Markets Linked to Volmex Index
TechFlowShare
Summary
BTC news today: Polymarket has launched new BTC and ETH volatility prediction markets tied to the Volmex index. These markets allow traders to bet on cryptocurrency volatility up until 2026, with contracts settling by December 31, 2026. Early data indicates a 35% probability that BTC's 30-day implied volatility will increase from 40% to 80%, and a similar likelihood for ETH to rise from 50% to 90%. BTC update: this development expands the options for retail investors to trade volatility directly.
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