ChainCatcher report, according to Jin10, this week saw significant signs of peace in both the U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine conflicts, substantially easing geopolitical risks. Next week, it will be crucial to monitor whether these two geopolitical tensions continue to de-escalate. Additionally, next week’s macroeconomic events will center on the U.S. April CPI data, as follows: Tuesday, 15:15: William, permanent FOMC voter and President of the New York Fed, participates in a panel discussion on monetary policy; Tuesday, 20:15: Weekly change in U.S. ADP employment numbers as of April 25; Tuesday, 20:30: U.S. April CPI data; Wednesday, 04:30: U.S. API crude oil inventories as of May 8; Wednesday, 20:30: U.S. April PPI annual and monthly rates; Friday, 05:30: Federal Reserve Governor Barr delivers a speech; Friday, 21:15: U.S. April industrial production monthly rate. Finally, next week the Federal Reserve will undergo a major leadership change. Nominee Chair Kevin Warsh is expected to be confirmed by the Senate on Monday and will formally assume leadership from Powell on May 15. In U.S. equities, as of this past Friday, a new surge has pushed the S&P 500 up 8% year-to-date in 2026, building on three consecutive years of double-digit returns. The Nasdaq Composite, led by technology stocks, has risen nearly 13% year-to-date, with both indices hitting all-time highs. Although the first-quarter earnings season is nearing its end, corporate earnings reports over the coming days will remain key drivers of stock prices.
Next Week’s Macro Outlook: U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine Peace Talks Possible, Walsh to Assume Fed Chair Role
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Summary
Next week’s macro focus shifts to U.S.-Iran and Russia-Ukraine peace talks, with the geopolitical risk-to-reward ratio under close scrutiny. Key events include the U.S. April CPI on Tuesday and Kevin Walsh’s Fed Chair confirmation on Monday. The Nasdaq tests new support and resistance levels after rising nearly 13% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 reaches fresh highs.
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