Huo Xing Finance reports: On July 26, next week is set to be a period of significant opportunity and challenge for investors, as the market approaches a cluster of pivotal turning points. The most unpredictable factor is the U.S.-Iran situation. On one hand, markets anticipate strong incentives for Trump to pursue TACO (given that he halted strikes against Iran on Friday). On the other hand, Israel’s escalation and Iran’s willingness to negotiate and make concessions will determine how long any peace may last. With AI-driven trading cooling and macro liquidity expectations shifting, geopolitical tensions are undoubtedly the most compelling rationale for market sell-offs. Thus, the trajectory of U.S.-Iran relations warrants close attention from investors next week. Additionally, ChangXin Memory Technologies, China’s leading domestic memory chip maker and a major focus for both domestic and international investors, will list on the Shanghai Stock Exchange’s STAR Market on Monday; its post-listing performance could significantly influence market sentiment around AI trading. In summary, the key macroeconomic events next week are as follows: Monday: ChangXin Memory Technologies lists on China’s STAR Market; Tuesday, 20:15: U.S. ADP Employment Change for the week ending July 11; Thursday, 02:00: Federal Reserve FOMC announces interest rate decision; Thursday, 02:30: Fed Chair Powell holds monetary policy press conference; Thursday, 19:00: Bank of England announces interest rate decision, meeting minutes, and monetary policy report; Thursday, 19:30: Bank of England Governor Bailey holds monetary policy press conference; Thursday, 20:30: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims, U.S. June Core PCE Price Index (year-over-year/month-over-month), U.S. June Personal Spending (month-over-month); Friday: Bank of Japan announces interest rate decision and economic outlook report; Friday, 14:30: BOJ Governor Ueda holds monetary policy press conference; Friday, 21:45: U.S. July Chicago PMI; Friday, 22:00: Final U.S. July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, Final U.S. July One-Year Inflation Expectation. Finally, next week brings a wave of earnings reports from major tech companies. Apple, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Microsoft, Qualcomm, and SK Hynix are scheduled to release their quarterly results on Wednesday and Thursday.
Next Week’s Macro Outlook: ChangXin IPO, Central Bank Super Week, and Tech Earnings in Focus
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Summary
Liquidity and crypto markets may face headwinds next week as macroeconomic events take center stage. ChangXin Technology is set to list on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board on Monday, potentially influencing AI-related trading. A central bank super week ahead includes rate decisions from the Fed, BoE, and BoJ, along with key U.S. economic data. Tech giants such as Apple and Meta will release earnings reports. Geopolitical risks tied to U.S.-Iran tensions remain a wildcard. CFT measures may also subtly influence regulatory scrutiny.
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