Odaily Seer monitoring shows that four days ago, a newly created wallet on Polymarket opened a position of $200,000 on "The U.S. will not invade Iran before March 31," at an entry price of 86.7¢; the current market price is 83.5¢, with total trading volume for this event nearing $24 million.
Yesterday, senior Iranian officials stated that there are currently no arrangements for negotiations, and any plans for dialogue at this stage appear unrealistic. Iran’s assessment of the “15-point proposal” is that the agreement is “one-sided and unfair,” serving only the interests of the United States and Israel. Additionally, Trump stated that he is engaged in very substantive negotiations with Iran and will announce a new “deadline” for talks.
Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets to see changes before pricing.