New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh May Signal Bitcoin Downturn Amid High Rates

icon币界网
Share
Share IconShare IconShare IconShare IconShare IconShare IconCopy
AI summary iconSummary

expand icon
Kevin Warsh’s potential confirmation as Fed Chair may affect Bitcoin amid high interest rates. Past Fed transitions saw sharp declines, including an 86% drop under Yellen and a 74% drop under Powell. Warsh’s crypto-friendly views may not counteract the current rate environment. The funding rates strategy remains key for traders navigating this shift. Technical analysis for crypto suggests caution ahead of policy uncertainty. The Fed’s last meeting ended with a split vote on holding rates—the most divided since 1992.
CoinDesk reports:

Although Kevin Warsh is known for his strong support of cryptocurrencies, he is set to be confirmed as the next Federal Reserve Chair. possible spelling Bitcoin faces short-term challenges.

History has shown that changes in Federal Reserve leadership have always preceded large-scale sell-offs in the cryptocurrency market.

The current macroeconomic environment suggests that history may repeat itself.

The Fed Chair curse

Since 2014, each change in the chair of the Federal Reserve has been followed by a significant sell-off in Bitcoin.

For example, when Janet Yellen took office as Chair of the Federal Reserve, Bitcoin experienced an 86% plunge.

In 2018, when Jerome Powell officially became Chair of the Federal Reserve, cryptocurrency prices plummeted by 74%.

When Powell began his second term in 2022, Bitcoin experienced another 60% plunge.

Bitcoin is currently trading at $77,367, and the upcoming leadership change may already be causing unease among some cryptocurrency market participants.

High interest rates and Wash's pro-Bitcoin paradox

Wash is widely regarded as one of the most pro-crypto candidates in Fed history. He has publicly praised Bitcoin as "an important asset" and a indicator of monetary policy.

However, his personal stance may not be enough to protect digital assets from short-term macroeconomic headwinds.

Wash is stepping into a challenging environment for risk assets. When he takes over the economy, current interest rates are at 3.5%, with only one rate cut expected by 2026.

Jerome Powell's term as head of the U.S. central bank will officially end on May 15.

Powell just chaired his final Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting as Fed Chair, during which the committee made its most divided decision since 1992, keeping interest rates unchanged.

In summary, Bitcoin may face volatility in the coming months.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may have been obtained from third parties and does not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of KuCoin. This content is provided for general informational purposes only, without any representation or warranty of any kind, nor shall it be construed as financial or investment advice. KuCoin shall not be liable for any errors or omissions, or for any outcomes resulting from the use of this information. Investments in digital assets can be risky. Please carefully evaluate the risks of a product and your risk tolerance based on your own financial circumstances. For more information, please refer to our Terms of Use and Risk Disclosure.