The market sees large capital bets on BTC reaching $75,000 after the March 20 expiry.

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BTC price exhibits strong long Gamma exposure near $74,000, with $180 million at risk. Following the March 20 expiry, call open interest surpassed put open interest, signaling significant bullish bets on BTC rising toward $75,000. Analyst Murphy anticipates increased volatility, with resistance at $80,000 and support between $65,000 and $67,000. BTC’s dominance in the options structure is shifting, likely amplifying price swings.

ChainThink reports that, according to crypto analyst Murphy, as of March 16, the GEX (Gamma Exposure) expiring on March 20 shows approximately $180 million in Gamma exposure near $74,000, structured as Long Gamma. Under these conditions, market makers’ hedging behavior typically suppresses volatility, causing price to oscillate more easily around this strike price, thereby creating objective resistance near $74,000. However, after March 20, by the next major expiration date on March 27, the options structure has changed significantly: Call open interest is markedly higher than Put open interest, indicating that substantial capital is positioned for a BTC price rise toward $75,000.


Murphy believes that after the March 20 expiration date, the BTC options structure will make $75,000 the new focal point, shifting from previously "suppressing volatility" to "amplifying volatility," while creating resistance as price moves upward toward $80,000 and providing support as price declines into the $65,000–$67,000 range.

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