Kraken's 2026 IPO probability on Polymarket falls to 29%, a 51% decline in 24 hours.

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On-chain data from Polymarket shows the probability of Kraken’s 2026 IPO has fallen to 29%, a 51% drop in 24 hours, with nearly $350,000 in trading volume. Kraken has paused its IPO plans due to challenging market conditions. In November last year, the company filed a draft S-1 with the SEC for a $20 billion valuation. Altcoins to watch may experience shifts as market sentiment remains volatile.

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that, according to Polymarket website data, the probability of the event "Kraken will conduct an IPO in 2026" has dropped to 29%, a 51% decline in 24 hours, with trading volume nearing $350,000.

Kraken disclosed that, due to a challenging market environment, it has paused its IPO plans. Previously, Kraken’s parent company submitted a draft S-1 registration statement to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in November last year regarding its initial public offering of common stock, with an estimated valuation of $20 billion.

Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets to see changes before pricing.

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