BlockBeats report: On March 17, Kalshi announced a $1 billion "Perfect Prediction" challenge, offering a $1 billion prize to anyone who correctly predicts all 63 games of the 2026 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Given that no one has ever accomplished this prediction (with a probability of 1 in 9.2 trillion), the highest-scoring prediction will receive a guaranteed $1 million prize, and an additional $1 million will be donated to charitable organizations and scholarship programs.
It is reported that in 2014, Buffett launched a similar challenge, offering a $1 billion prize for correctly predicting the outcomes of all games, but due to the extreme difficulty, no one has ever won.