ChainCatcher report: Kalshi has announced a $1 billion "Perfect Prediction" challenge, offering a $1 billion prize to anyone who correctly predicts all 63 games of the 2026 NCAA Basketball Tournament. Given that no one has ever accomplished this prediction (with a probability of 1 in 9.2 trillion), the highest-scoring prediction will receive a guaranteed $1 million prize, and an additional $1 million will be donated to charitable organizations and scholarship programs. It is noted that in 2014, Warren Buffett launched a similar challenge with a $1 billion prize for correctly predicting all game outcomes, but due to its extreme difficulty, no one ever claimed the reward.
Kalshi Launches $1 Billion 'Perfect Prediction' Challenge for the 2026 NCAA Basketball Tournament
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Summary
Kalshi, a name frequently mentioned in crypto news, has launched a $1 billion "Perfect Prediction" challenge for the 2026 NCAA basketball tournament. The prize goes to anyone who correctly predicts all 63 games—a feat with odds of 1 in 92 trillion. The top prediction will also earn $1 million, with an additional $1 million donated to charity. This follows a similar 2014 cryptocurrency news story involving Warren Buffett, which also had no winner.
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