Japanese stocks face outflows amid concerns over an AI bubble

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ETF outflows from Japanese stocks reached ¥395 billion ($25 billion) for the week ending May 29, according to Japan Exchange Group data, ending eight consecutive weeks of inflows. The Nikkei 225 surged past 65,000, driven by AI-linked stocks such as SoftBank and Kioxia. Rapid gains triggered profit-taking, with Pelham Smithers warning of a potential AI-driven bubble. He estimates that 70% of Japan’s market gains by 2026 may stem from AI sectors, prompting some global investors to reallocate funds to markets like Europe with lower AI exposure.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that, according to data from the Japan Exchange Group, foreign investors net sold approximately ¥395 billion (about $2.5 billion) in Japanese stocks for the week ending May 29, ending eight consecutive weeks of net purchases. This selling occurred as the Nikkei 225 index, led by technology stocks, surpassed the 65,000-point mark for the first time, primarily driven by AI-related stocks such as SoftBank, Kioxia, and Murata Manufacturing. The rapid rise in the Nikkei index has raised concerns among some market participants about overheating, prompting them to take profits.

Pelham Smithers, Managing Director of UK-based stock research firm Pelham Smithers Associates, said: “An increasing number of people believe that artificial intelligence is forming a bubble; we estimate that approximately 70% of the Japanese stock market’s gain in 2026 has been driven by AI-related stocks.” He added that, as caution grows, some global investors “want to exit Japan and redirect their capital toward markets like Europe that are less focused on AI.” (Jin10)

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