According to ME News, on May 25 (UTC+8), economists from Daiwa Research stated that Japan’s 10-year government bond yield is expected to rise to approximately 3.1% in the second half of fiscal year 2027, which ends in March 2028. They noted that the impact of the Bank of Japan’s interest rate hikes and quantitative tightening could further push bond yields higher. The economists also added that if Prime Minister Hayashi’s expansionary fiscal policy intensifies market concerns about inflation, and if increased government bond issuance worsens supply-demand imbalances, yields could rise further. On Monday, Japan’s bond yields declined due to falling oil prices; the 10-year Japanese government bond yield recently fell 7 basis points to 2.690%. (CoinDesk) (Source: ODAILY)
Japan's 10-Year Treasury Yield May Rise to 3.1% in the 2027 Fiscal Year
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Summary
A researcher from the Daiwa Institute of Research said the Japanese 10-year Treasury yield could reach 3.1% in the second half of the 2027 fiscal year. The Bank of Japan’s rate hikes and reduced bond purchases could push yields higher. If Prime Minister Asumi Takamiya’s fiscal policy exacerbates supply-demand imbalances, yields may rise further. On Monday, the 10-year yield declined to 2.690% as oil prices fell. Meanwhile, global markets continue to monitor MiCA and CFT developments for regulatory impacts.
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