Odaily Planet Daily reports that vessel tracking data shows over 15 million barrels of Russian crude are currently in waters near India, providing a swift response pathway for India to address Middle East supply shortages following the U.S. issuance of a temporary license permitting purchases. These barrels are distributed across more than a dozen tankers in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, seemingly unsold and without designated ports of destination, and are expected to arrive in India within a week. Additionally, approximately eight more vessels carrying around 7 million barrels of Urals crude are standing by in Singaporean waters and could also reach India within a week. Further cargoes are being transported eastward via the Mediterranean and the Suez Canal, with potential arrival in India expected within a month. Kpler data indicates that tankers loaded with Russian oil began altering course toward Indian ports even before the U.S. government issued its license on Thursday evening; currently, about 18 Urals crude tankers are showing destinations for India. Analyst Sumit Ritolia of the data intelligence firm stated: “Refiners may rapidly resume procurement, with daily purchase volumes potentially rebounding above 2 million barrels in the short term. The deep discount previously offered on Russian crude may narrow significantly—or even turn into a premium.” (Jinshi)
India Approaches 15 Million Barrels of Russian Crude Amid U.S. License
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India’s ports are approaching 15 million barrels of Russian crude, according to vessel tracking data, as a U.S. temporary license eases CFT restrictions on purchases. Dozens of tankers are anchored in the Arabian Sea and the Bay of Bengal, with an additional eight vessels carrying 7 million barrels of Urals crude awaiting discharge in Singapore. Refiners may increase purchases to over 2 million barrels per day, bringing MiCA-like regulatory clarity into focus as oil flows shift. More shipments via the Suez Canal could arrive within a month, with discounts on Russian crude expected to narrow.
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