ICP is trading in a squeezed position at $2.34 and in a short-term downtrend. The critical $2.3171 support is being tested; a breakdown could accelerate downward momentum, while holding offers a liquidity hunt opportunity for an upward reaction.
Current Price Position and Critical Levels
ICP is experiencing a narrow consolidation in the $2.33-$2.40 range with a 1.89% drop in the last 24 hours. The overall trend is downward; price remains below EMA20 ($2.42) and RSI at 41.81 is in the neutral-bearish region. The Supertrend indicator is also giving a bearish signal and pointing to $2.63 resistance. 4 strong levels detected on 1D timeframe (2 supports, 2 resistances), no additional confluence on 3D and 1W but these 1D levels dominate the short-medium term structure. Price is on the edge of an order block-like liquidity pool at $2.34; $2.19 testable on downside break, $2.36 on upside. Volume is low at $20.83M, indicating big players are accumulating positions – volatility increase expected.
Support Levels: Buyer Pools
Primary Support
$2.3171 (Strength Score: 64/100) – This level stands out as ICP's most critical buyer region. Why is it important? It's a demand zone tested three times in the last two weeks on 1D timeframe; volume increased with each test and price bounced upward with 2-3% rejection candles. Perfect confluence with EMA50 (around $2.31), plus it aligns with the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level. Historically, a strong bounce occurred from this region in mid-April – a liquidity collection point. If it holds, buyers enter and a short breather to $2.40 is possible; on breakdown, stop hunt triggers.
Secondary Support and Stop Levels
$2.1943 (Strength Score: 61/100) – Secondary support, first target on primary breakdown. This level is identified as an old order block (buyer block) on 1D; originating from the late March swing low and carrying high volume node (HVN) confluence in volume profile. RSI divergence potential is high here – could give oversold signal. Invalidation below $2.18; if broken, downtrend accelerates and $1.5365 downside target comes into play. Ideal stop-loss above $2.30, risk/reward ratio around 1:2.5.
Resistance Levels: Seller Pools
Near-Term Resistances
$2.3647 (Strength Score: 81/100) – The strongest resistance here; main fortress of short-term sellers. Two rejections occurred on 1D in the last three days, both accompanied by shooting star formations and volume spikes. Reinforced by approach to EMA20 ($2.42), plus supply zone from pivot high. If price reaches here, short opportunities increase for liquidity grab – 81% score indicates high rejection probability.
Main Resistance and Targets
$2.4441 (Strength Score: 66/100) – Main resistance, medium-term target. This level aligns with an old equal high on weekly timeframe; represents supply imbalance left from early April breakdown. Above low volume node (LVN) in volume profile, meaning low potential for quick passage – rejection likely. On breakout, $3.0531 upside target opens, but weak under current bearish Supertrend. Validation requires close above $2.50.
Liquidity Map and Big Players
Big players (smart money) appear to be hunting liquidity below $2.3171 – stop-loss clusters are dense here. Above, the $2.36-$2.44 range is a liquidity pool targeting retail longs' stops. Order flow analysis shows bearish imbalance on 1D; if price can't break $2.40, downward sweep expected. Sudden spikes on low volume signal whale accumulation – opportunity for long entry on drop to $2.19. On the overall map, downside liquidity is greater; this strengthens continuation bias.
Bitcoin Correlation
BTC at $78,270 sideways (+2.13%), but Supertrend bearish and rising dominance warns altcoins. ICP correlates 0.75% with BTC; if BTC breaks $78,197 support, cascade effect to $2.19 on ICP. Conversely, BTC above $79,429 resistance lights green for ICP $2.44 test. Main BTC levels: Support $78k-$75k, resistance $79k-$83k. If BTC turns bearish, altcoin rotation remains weak on ICP – monitor BTC dominance for ICP Spot Analysis and ICP Futures Analysis.
Trading Plan and Level-Based Strategy
Level-based outlook: If $2.3171 holds, long bias ($2.36 target, stop $2.30); if breaks, short ($2.19 target, stop $2.35). R/R 1:3 potential high on downside. Short on $2.3647 rejection, long watch on $2.4441 breakout. Multi-timeframe confluence 1D-focused – price action dominates without news flow. Risk management essential: Position with 1-2% risk, use trailing stop. This analysis is not investment advice; do your own research.
This analysis uses Chief AnalystDevrim Cacal's market views and methodology.

