IBM CEO Questions Industry's AGI Investments: Excess Capital Costs Hinder ROI

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ME AI message: In a recent interview, IBM CEO Arvind Krishna expressed serious skepticism about the massive capital expenditures competitors are making in pursuit of artificial general intelligence (AGI). Krishna estimated that the current cost to build a 1-gigawatt data center is approximately $80 billion; if the entire industry were to deploy 100 gigawatts of computing power to achieve AGI, total capital expenditure would reach $8 trillion. He noted that this would require companies to generate $800 billion in profits just to cover interest payments—a return on investment that is commercially unfeasible. Furthermore, Krishna believes the probability of achieving AGI using currently known large language model (LLM) technologies is extremely low (0% to 1%), unless fundamental breakthroughs are made in integrating knowledge with LLMs. While pessimistic about the near-term realization of AGI, he still recognizes that generative AI will unlock trillions of dollars in productivity value for enterprise applications. (Source: ChainCatcher)
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