High-Confidence Account Adds $55K to 'No' Position in US-Iran Ceasefire Prediction Market

KuCoinFlash

Release Time: 03/23/2026 17:06:05

Summary

Market confidence in a US-Iran ceasefire by March 31 is declining, as a high-accuracy account with an 88% success rate added $55,000 to the 'no' position on Polymarket. The total position now stands at $549,000, with the price prediction rising to 82.5¢ from 82¢. The event has attracted 666,000 shares amid escalating geopolitical tensions and heightened trading activity.

Odaily Seer monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event “Israel and Iran will cease fire before March 31,” an account with an over 88% win rate (0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184) purchased approximately $55,000 in “No” position.

The total position of this account in this event is approximately $549,000, with an entry price of approximately 82¢ and a current price of approximately 82.5¢, corresponding to approximately 666,000 shares.

The situation in the Middle East remains tense, with the United States and Iran repeatedly negotiating over ceasefire and progress in talks; market expectations for a short-term ceasefire remain divided, and trading volume for this event continues to rise.

Odaily Seer continuously monitors prediction markets to see changes before pricing.

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