As per MarsBit, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam posted on X that over half of the total options positions will expire on Friday, December 26. Currently, the main trading activity is concentrated in rolling positions, which generates significant noise in market signals. Adam advised that options data should not be used as a trading signal in the coming days. For example, although put block trades accounted for 30% of today’s volume, this is not a bearish signal, as many deep out-of-the-money and in-the-money put options were traded. These should not be interpreted as institutional price views, as many institutions roll positions early to mitigate pin risk during heavy expiry periods.
Greeks.live Warns Against Using Options Data as Trading Signal Amid High Expiry Volume
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Summary
Greeks.live macro researcher Adam warned on X that over half of total options positions will expire on Friday, December 26. High trading volume from rolling positions is creating noisy market signals. Adam said options data should not be used as a trading signal in the coming days. Put block trades at 30% of today’s volume are not bearish, as many deep out-of-the-money and in-the-money puts were traded. On-chain data shows these trades are more about position management than institutional price views.
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