GLM-5 Achieves 42.99% Return in AI Market Prediction Tournament

KuCoinFlash

Release Time: 03/22/2026 04:46:31

Summary

GLM-5 achieved a 42.99% return in the Prediction Arena market trading competition, outperforming the human benchmark. The model earned $14,299.40 on Kalshi, surpassing the $12,353.45 benchmark. Developed by Z.ai’s Li Zixuan, GLM-5 executed 98 trades with a Sharpe ratio of 0.17. The Arcada Labs platform enables AI to make price predictions and trading decisions on events such as weather and Bitcoin price movements.

BlockBeats news, on March 22, Li Zixuan, Global Head of ZhiPu Z.ai, posted on X: "Whether due to luck or analytical ability, GLM-5 is currently the only model to outperform the 'human benchmark' on the Prediction Arena trading prediction market."

Prediction Arena data shows that GLM-5 achieved a 42.99% return ($14,299.40) on the trading platform Kalshi, outperforming the human benchmark ($12,353.45) and becoming the only leading AI model.

The platform was developed by Arcada Labs, and the AI model has executed 98 trades on event markets such as weather and cryptocurrencies, achieving a Sharpe ratio of 0.17.

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