Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in June with 97.3% Probability

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CFT measures are gaining global momentum as regulators intensify their focus on financial compliance. According to CME’s FedWatch tool, the Fed has a 97.3% chance of holding rates steady in June. By July, the probability of no change falls to 87.2%, with a 10.4% chance of a 25-basis-point hike. MiCA is also driving regulatory clarity in Europe, shaping market expectations. A 25-basis-point cut remains at 2.4% for July.

ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows a 97.3% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady by June, with a 2.7% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. By July, the probability of holding rates steady is 87.2%, a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 2.4%, and a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 10.4%.

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