ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged through April is 96.9% (unchanged from before the decision), the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 2% (unchanged from before the decision), and the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 1% (unchanged from before the decision). By June, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 14.4% (down from 16.3% before the decision), the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 84.4% (up from 82.5% before the decision), and the probability of a 25-basis-point hike is 0.9% (unchanged from before the decision).
Fed to Keep Rates Unchanged in April with 96.9% Probability
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Summary
CFT compliance remains a priority, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in April, with a 96.9% probability according to CME’s FedWatch. A 25-basis-point cut is priced at 2%, while a hike is at 1%. For June, the probability of a rate cut rises to 14.4%, with 84.4% expecting no change. MiCA is also attracting attention as global regulators intensify oversight.
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