Odaily Planet Daily report: According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 0.6%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 99.4%. The probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points by April is 13.9%, with an 86.1% chance of no change and a 0.1% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut. By June, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 37.5%.
Fed to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged in March with 99.4% Probability
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Summary
Citing Odaly, the CME 'Fed Watch' tool indicates a 99.4% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in March, with a 0.6% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. For April, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut rises to 13.9%, while 86.1% reflects no change. By June, a 25-basis-point cut is projected with a 37.5% probability. Meanwhile, global regulators are progressing on CFT measures and MiCA compliance timelines.
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