Huo Xing Finance reports, according to Jin Shi, CME's "FedWatch" shows a 96.4% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady by June, with a 3.6% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. By July, the probability of holding rates steady is 88.5%, with an 8.2% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 3.2% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut.
Fed holds rates steady in June at 96.4% probability, hike chances at 8.2% in July
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CFT compliance pressures remain a focus, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in June with a 96.4% probability, according to CME FedWatch. A 25-basis-point cut has a 3.6% chance. By July, the likelihood of a rate hike rises to 8.2%, while the chance of a cut falls to 3.2%. With MiCA nearing finalization, global regulatory shifts could influence market reactions. The probability of no rate change in July stands at 88.5%.
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