Probability of Fed's March rate cut at 1.9%

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According to ChainThink, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, March 20 at 02:00. According to CME's FedWatch, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in March is only 1.9%, with a 98.1% chance of maintaining the current rate. Risk-on assets have gained attention as markets price in a near-certain hold. The probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut by April is 0.1%, while a 25-basis-point cut has a 5.8% chance. CFT measures are also under scrutiny as global regulators monitor market responses.

ChainThink reports that on March 15, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision next Thursday at 02:00. According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed in March is only 1.9%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is 98.1%.


The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by a total of 50 basis points by April is 0.1%, the probability of a total cut of 25 basis points is 5.8%, and the probability of no change is 94.1%.

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