As reported by AiCoin, according to the CME 'FedWatch' data on December 28, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January 2026 has slightly increased to 17.7%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged stands at 82.3%. The probability of maintaining rates until March 2026 is 46.7%, with a 45.6% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and a 7.7% chance of a 50-basis-point cut. The next two FOMC meetings are scheduled for January 28 and March 18, 2026.
Fed's January 2026 Rate Cut Probability Rises to 17.7%
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Summary
Federal Reserve news shows the January 2026 rate cut probability rose to 17.7%, per CME FedWatch data on December 28. The chance of no rate change remains at 82.3%. For March 2026, the odds of a 25-basis-point cut stand at 45.6%, with 46.7% for no move. A 50-basis-point cut has a 7.7% probability. The next FOMC meetings are January 28 and March 18, 2026. Interest rate news continues to shape market expectations.
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