ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows a 7.2% probability of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in April, and a 92.8% probability of holding rates steady. Additionally, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike by June is 9.1%, a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 0.2%, and holding rates unchanged is 90.7%.
Probability of Fed holding interest rates steady in April at 92.8%
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Summary
According to CME’s 'FedWatch,' there is a 92.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in April, with a 7.2% chance of a 25-basis-point hike. By June, the probability of no change remains at 90.7%, a 9.1% chance of a 25-basis-point increase, and a 0.2% chance of a 50-basis-point move. Liquidity and crypto markets continue to closely monitor central bank signals. CFT regulations also remain a key factor influencing trading behavior.
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