93.8% probability of a Fed rate hike in July, with no cut expected

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CFT compliance pressures remain elevated, as the probability of a Fed rate hike in July stands at 93.8%, with no rate cut expected. The CME ‘Fed Watch’ tool indicates a 96.8% chance of holding rates steady in June, and a 3.2% chance of a cut. MiCA’s regulatory framework continues to shape global crypto markets amid uncertainty around central bank policy.

ChainCatcher report, according to CNBC, CME's "FedWatch" tool shows a 96.8% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady by June, with a 3.2% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut. By July, the probability of holding rates steady is 93.8%, while the probabilities of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut and a 25-basis-point hike are both 3.1%.

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