Fed Holds Rates Steady, 1% Chance of April Hike

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As of March 19, 2026, the CME FedWatch tool indicates a 97% probability that the Fed will hold rates steady in April, with a 2% chance of a 25-basis-point cut and a 1% chance of a hike. By June, the likelihood of no change increases to 84.4%, while a 25-basis-point cut is priced at 14.4%. The FOMC’s next meetings are scheduled for April 29 and June 17. Meanwhile, global regulatory attention remains focused on CFTC and MiCA, as markets await further clarity on crypto compliance.

BlockBeats news, on March 19, according to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged until April is 97%, the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut is 2%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 1%.


The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged through June is 84.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut is 14.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 1.2%.


The next two FOMC meetings of the Federal Reserve are scheduled for April 29 and June 17.

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